---
name: "Hot Hand Project"
subtitle: "Pick the real NBA streak out of the coin flips"
date: 2026-07-29
link: "https://www.hothand.study/"
linkText: "hothand.study"
source: "Hacker News — Show HN"
topics: [web-tools, learning-and-reference]
tags: [basketball, statistics, interactive]
description: "An interactive experiment on the hot-hand fallacy, built on real NBA shot data, that asks you to tell a genuine hot streak from a random run."
---

It does not explain the hot-hand fallacy at you — it puts real NBA shot data in front of you and asks you to pick out the streak, then shows you how randomness produces the same shape. Getting it wrong is the argument. The headline is a dare rather than a lecture: you think you can spot a hot streak, you can't. Sit with it for five minutes and you stop trusting your own eyes on a box score.
